全球大趋势对中国和世界的意义
Global Megatrends: Implications for China and the World
主办单位
Hosts
清华大学五道口金融学院
清华大学国家金融研究院
官方媒体
Offical Media Partners
清华金融评论
未央网
2018年1月14日 9:30
清华大学主楼接待厅
日程（Agenda）：
9:00-9:30
签到入场
Sign-in
9:30-9:40
开场主持Opening Remarks：
朱民，清华大学国家金融研究院院长、IMF原副总裁
Min ZHU
Chair, Tsinghua NIFR
Former Deputy Managing Director,IMF
9:40-10:40
主旨演讲 Keynote Speech：
伊恩·高登
牛津大学全球化与发展学教授，前世界银行副行长
Ian Goldin
Professor of Globalisation and Development, Oxford University
Former Vice President of the World Bank
10:40-11:00
互动提问，活动结束
Q&
演讲嘉宾（Guest）：
伊恩·高登
牛津大学全球化与发展学教授、马丁学院技术与经济变革项目主任。创立牛津大学马丁学院，2006年至2016年担任首任院长；2003年至2006年担任世界银行副行长；1996年至2001年担任南非发展银行董事长兼常务董事,及前南非总统纳尔逊·曼德拉的顾问。
Ian Goldin
Professor
Ian Goldin was the founding Director of the Oxford Martin School from
September 2006 to September 2016. He is currently Oxford University
Professor of Globalisation and Development and the Director of the
Oxford Martin Programme on Technological and Economic Change. He is a
Senior Fellow at the Oxford Martin School and a Professorial Fellow at
the University’s Balliol College.
Professor Goldin initiated and was
Vice-Chair of the Oxford Martin Commission for Future Generations. From
2003 to 2006 he was Vice President of the World Bank. From 1996 to 2001
he was Chief Executive and Managing Director of the Development Bank of
Southern Africa and served as an advisor to President Nelson Mandela.
演讲概要（Introduction）：
过去三十年中国迅猛的发展与全球化和科技的加速发展存在着千丝万缕的联系，不断发展的创造力与创新力的融合对世界经济和中国经济产生了深远的影响。寿命的延长和生育率的降低严重影响了养老金、退休和就业率等社会因素，与此同时，人工智能和机器人正在改变工作的本质，对经济和消费产生戏剧性的影响。全球化带来的不仅仅是机遇，也带来了包括流行病、网络攻击、气候变化、金融危机在内的新型突发性系统风险。伊恩·高登的演讲将详细分析推动全球经济增长的驱动力、中国和新兴市场为何在未来几年将会保持高水平增长、阐述未来发展的趋势并为中国和其他国家如何在发展中抓住机遇、减小风险提出建议。
The extraordinary progress in China over the past thirty years has been associated with globalization and accelerating technological change. Connectivity has been associated with rising creativity and innovation. The speed, scale and complexity of this integration has far-reaching implications for the world economy and for China.
Ian
Goldin will identify the drivers of global growth, showing why China
and emerging markets are likely to continue to grow at high levels for
the coming decades. Rising life expectancy and declining fertility
around the world has dramatic consequences for pensions, retirement,
dependency and employment patterns. Meanwhile, advances in artificial
intelligence and robotics is transforming the nature of work and
technological change in other areas is leading to dramatic changes in
business and consumption.
Globalization
spreads not only opportunities but also creates a new form of emergent
systemic risks. Pandemics, cyberattacks, climate change and financial
contagion are among the systemic risks increasing uncertainty. In the
advanced economies, growing inequality and rising risk has been
associated with growing extremism which threatens to reverse integration
and globalisation. Ian Goldin identifies future trends, identifying
opportunities and strategies for China and other countries to seize the
opportunities and mitigate the risks.
Professor Goldin’s talk will draw on his latest books, Age of Discovery: Navigating the Storms of Our Second Renaissance, published by Bloomsbury (and in China by CITIC) and The Pursuit of Development: Economic Growth, Social Change and Ideas, published by Oxford University Press and The Butterfly Defect: Globalisation and Systemic Risk, published by Princeton University Press. More information can be found at www.iangoldin.org.
报名方式（Registration）：
http://jrjdjt2018.events.pbcsf.tsinghua.edu.cn/app/getticketinfo